Artículos

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Browsing Artículos by Author "Abad Cisneros, Angélica Isabel"

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    América Latina 2019: vuelta a la inestabilidad
    (2020) Abad Cisneros, Angélica Isabel; Barrientos Garrido, María Reneé; Barragán, Melany Manjón; Rivas Otero, José Manuel; Tricot, Víctor; Cruz, Facundo; Goyburu, Lara
    El presente número recoge uno de los temas claves para la política latinoamericana en 2020 los escenarios de crisis derivados de las movilizaciones desarrolladas en la segunda mitad de 2019. A través de un análisis crítico, en los diferentes artículos se aporta una visión comprehensiva de las diferentes causas que subyacen a las protestas y se describen las distintas situaciones posibles. El primer artículo ofrece un análisis general de la región que sirve para contextualizar los sucesivos estudios de caso: Argentina, Chile, Bolivia, Ecuador y Colombia.
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    An Unwelcomed Deja-Vu: Ecuadorian Politics in 2021
    (2022) Aldaz Peña, Raúl; Abad Cisneros, Angélica Isabel; Dávila Gordillo, Diana; Vallejo Vera, Sebastian
    This paper explains the configuration of the political scenario in Ecuador after the 2021 general elections. The pandemic left a challenging economic and social aftermath that created policy challenges for the new government. Guillermo Lasso won the elections securing support from the anticorreísmo front. However, this electoral coalition did not translate into the legislative arena. Lasso addressed policy challenges using political strategies widely used in Ecuador by minority governments during the nineties. We focus on Lasso’s attempts to push economic reforms to show how his legislative strategy adapted to the prevailing political conditions, namely: 1) aimed for less ambitious policy goals; 2) used his institutional prerogatives to shape the legislative agenda; and, 3) crafted short-lived and informal agreements in exchange for (political) pork. Complex executive-legislative relations can limit the government’s ability to address economic and social problems in the future, which could lead to political and economic instability, as in the past. De facto coalitions are necessary for Lasso yet come at a cost for a government quickly losing support. We also provide an overview of other social problems and policy responses relevant throughout this year.
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    Believe in me: parties’ strategies during a pandemic, evidence from Ecuador
    (2021) Abad Cisneros, Angélica Isabel; Vallejo Vera, Sebastian; Davila Gordillo, Diana Lucia; Aldaz Peña, Raul Alberto
    There is a growing interest to evaluate the political aftermath of the pandemic. We study how parties attract voters under the redistributive pressure created by COVID-19, looking into the 2021 Ecuadorian elections. We classify the messages that candidates sent, evaluate if and how candidates used COVID-19 to mobilize voters, and assess how voters reacted to them. We followed 858 virtual events and gathered more than 1’575.000 tweets from candidates and their communities. We find that candidates did not place COVID-19 at the center of their strategies but used it to connect with symbolic messages about the capabilities of parties and candidates. Twitter users had a limited engagement with COVID-19-related content. These findings nuance our expectations of the pandemic. COVID-19 was only an element rather than the coreof electoral strategies. Our empirical approach can be easily extended to other cases where in-person events are still limited.
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    Between pessimism and mistrust: ecuadorian attitudes in the 2020 coronavirus pandemic
    (Springer, Cham, 2021) Abad Cisneros, Angélica Isabel
    In February 2021, Ecuadorians will have to face the most fragmented presidential elections of their history. Seventeen presidential contenders are trying to reach out to a very disappointed and distant electorate. Since the arrival of COVID-19 to the country, public opinion has been very critical toward the government but also toward representatives on the National Assembly and politicians in general. Corruption scandals, public health system incapacity to deal with the disease, political opportunist actions and declarations of the opposition, and increasing levels of unemployment and economic instability have increased citizen’s distrust and pessimism about the future. This chapter describes the evolution of Ecuadorian attitudes toward the government, politicians, presidential candidates, and elections amidst the coronavirus pandemic.
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    Desafección política en Bolivia, Ecuador y Venezuela en 2010: un análisis comparado
    (2013) Trak, Juan Manuel; Abad Cisneros, Angélica Isabel
    This investigation seeks to know citizens’ political approaches to democracy and its institutions in Bolivia, Ecuador and Venezuela. During the last two decades these countries have experienced deep changes in their political systems that affected the relationship between citizens, their political representatives and the State. In this context it is important to understand current stances towards representative political institutions, and which factors, apart from political change, might help to explain them. Using 2010 survey data from the Latin America Public Opinion Survey and a combination of multivariate statistical methods, we test if the political disaffection theory might be applied to the selected cases.
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    El voto populista en la región andina: los casos de Colombia, Ecuador y Perú
    (2018) Abad Cisneros, Angélica Isabel
    El objetivo de este trabajo es identificar el perfil de quienes votaron por alguno de los candidatos populistas en las elecciones presidenciales de Colombia (2006), Ecuador (2002) y Perú (2006). Para ello, se elaboran cuatro modelos de regresión logística para cada país utilizando datos del Proyecto de Opinión Pública de América Latina (LAPOP, por sus siglas en inglés). Los resultados sugieren que algunos de los supuestos de la literatura (sobre todo aquellos vinculados a la movilización del descontento y la desafección) serían válidos solo para casos en los que el populismo forma parte de la oposición y no del Gobierno. También señalan que existe un componente estructural e ideológico a favor de los candidatos populistas cuya configuración dependerá del contexto.
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    Representación política y responsiveness en Brasil contemporáneo
    (2014) Abad Cisneros, Angélica Isabel; Fernández, Michelle; Coelho, André Luiz
    La representación política, a lo largo del tiempo, ha sido ejercida por representantes elegidos que componen los partidos políticos. De este modo, la vinculación con los electores constituye un desafío cada vez más importante. Bajo esta perspectiva, este artículo tiene como objetivo realizar una comparación entre los intereses de los representantes y las demandas de los representados a principios del siglo XXI en Brasil. Trataremos de contestar a la siguiente pregunta de investigación: ¿son convergentes las demandas de la ciudadanía y los intereses de los representantes en el Congreso Nacional en Brasil? Para contestar a esta pregunta analizaremos los datos de las encuestas del Proyecto de Elites Parlamentarias de la Universidad de Salamanca y de la Cooperación Latinobarómetro, para dos puntos temporales, 2005 y 2010. Buscaremos comparar las actuaciones de los representantes democráticamente elegidos con las opiniones de los electores. Por lo tanto, los principales objetivos del análisis son percibir si existe responsiveness en la actuación de los representantes, es decir, sincronización entre los intereses de estos representantes y las demandas de los representados, además de observar en cuáles aspectos dicha sincronización se presenta de forma más contundente.