Análisis comparativo del proceso de migración interna en las ciudades de Cuenca, Guayaquil y Quito para el año 2014”

Abstract

The purpose of this investigation is to analyze the internal migrants who live in the most important cities of the Ecuador as Cuenca, Guayaquil and Quito; se it have the following three objectives: a) determine the migrant’s profile, b) analyze the migrant's probability of getting a job and c) if there is an income difference between migrants and non-migrants during 2014 period.

For this reason there are three econometric models that are made for the author. The purpose of the first econometric model is to know the profile of the migrant; being the probability of migrating to one of the three cities mentioned considered as a dependent variable and as explanatory variables, the model analyze the following variables: area, age, sex, etc.; The second model is used to know the probability that migrants have of get an employment, as a dependent variable it consider if the person is occupied or not and as explanatory variables the model analyze individual characteristics of the people; And the latest estimate is to verify if there is any wage gap between migrants and non-migrants.

The Encuesta de Condiciones de Vida 2013-2014 was used for development of Multinomial Logit model, Binomial Logit model and Ordinary Least Square models.