Evaluación del subsidio al gas licuado de petróleo en el Ecuador

Abstract

In the field of energy subsidies have been disseminated worldwide, trying to achieve several objectives, among them the introduction of new energy sources. The high fiscal cost generated by the use of subsidized LPG in Ecuador and socio-political impacts that can generate a decision of the Ecuadorian government with respect to the price of liquefied petroleum gas, demand evaluation using multi-criteria analysis of several scenarios which They are: Maintain the current subsidy (BAU) Raise the price of domestic LPG cylinder from US $ 1.60 to US $ 5.00, subsidize the consumption of LPG for cooking for quintiles 1 and 2 of the Ecuadorian population and finally replace the use of LPG for cooking electricity for all Ecuadorians homes. The mathematical models used are: Quipu is a compensatory model - no compensatory and ELECTRE III based on the concordance and discordance between variables. After applying the models obtained indicated that the alternative commitment to the evaluated criteria is to replace the use of LPG for cooking electricity for the Ecuadorian households.