Browsing by Author "Rivera Andrade, Erick David"

Filter results by typing the first few letters
Now showing 1 - 1 of 1
  • Thumbnail Image
    Item
    Determinantes económicos y demográficos de los delitos por robo en un país en desarrollo: un análisis regional en Ecuador
    (Universidad de Cuenca, 2025-02-06) Quituisaca Chimbo, Fabián Marcelo; Rivera Andrade, Erick David; Cabrera Barbecho, Fanny Narcisa
    In recent years, Ecuador has faced security problems, highlighting an increase in theft crimes as of 2018, particularly in the cantons of the Coast, while in other cantons crimes are lower. This situation evidences heterogeneity among the different regions of the country. Therefore, this study focuses on analyzing the economic and demographic determinants of theft crimes, focusing on variables such as Unsatisfied Basic Needs (UBN) poverty, inequality, drug trafficking, migration and formal employment, using canton-level data corresponding to 2022. Census data and data from the Attorney General's Office are used, which are evaluated through an Exploratory Spatial Data Analysis and spatial econometric models. The results show that robbery crimes do not occur randomly, but tend to cluster in geographic areas. In addition, a spatial contagion effect is observed: cantons close to those with high levels of theft crimes are also affected. At the cantonal level, we find that drug trafficking and immigration increase theft, while extreme poverty measured by UBN has the opposite effect, reducing crime, which can be explained by factors such as the opportunity effect and social cohesion dynamics. In general, poverty increases the incidence of robbery, while greater formal employment acts as a protective factor, decreasing the occurrence of these crimes.