Browsing by Author "Ortiz Remache, Ana Carolina"

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Análisis de la sostenibilidad de la deuda pública externa del Ecuador durante el periodo 2000-2022
(2023) Sarmiento Moscoso, Luis Santiago; Ortiz Remache, Ana Carolina; Quizhpi Pastuizaca, Jennyfer Isabel
At the last few years, both the level of indebtedness and interest rates have increased considerably in the country, generating concern in the economy, especially regarding the limitation of public resources that could be generated. Therefore, the present study analyzes the sustainability of the external public debt in the period 2000-2020. To this end, an autoregressive model of debt has been estimated, which includes variables of income, debt and expenses, as well as the estimated a set of indicators, such as the Primary Gap, Blanchard, Debt / GDP ratio, among others. The results indicate that the debt is weakly sustainable and the adjustment coefficient estimates that approximately 27% of the imbalances in the short term are being corrected in the subsequent period towards the long-term trajectory. Therefore, it is important to renegotiate interest rates to reduce the commitment acquired for debt service, especially since 2014 and, thereby, free up resources to meet the socio-economic needs of the population
Influencia de la participación femenina en el mercado laboral sobre la decisión de tener hijos
(Universidad de Cuenca, 2024-03-19) Ortiz Remache, Ana Carolina; Quizhpi Pastuizaca, Jennyfer Isabel; Mendoza Valencia, César Andrés
This study identifies the influence of female labor participation on the decision to have children among Ecuadorian women. In Ecuador it has been evidenced that the birth rate has decreased during the last years, while, on the contrary, the employment rate has increased, this would show a possible trade-off between the variables, therefore, the analysis of this relationship becomes relevant in the country; thus, through the application of different estimation methods and with the use of information presented by the National Institute of Statistics and Census it was found that labor participation decreases the probability that women decide to have children, especially in much older age cohorts. In addition, considering the possibility of endogeneity, a simultaneous equations model was used which showed that employed women are less likely to have children, while those who have one or more children are more likely to enter the labor market.