Browsing by Author "Diaz Sanchez, Juan Pablo"

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The association between overcrowded households and adolescent pregnancy
(2021) Diaz Sanchez, Juan Pablo; Lanchimba López, Cintya Catalina; Obaco Alvarez, Moises Lenyn
Background: Literature suggests that socioeconomic environment influences the probility of teenage pregnancy. Specifically, this paper reports an investigation about the association between overcrowded households and teenage pregnancy in a developing country. Methods: Using a probit model with sample selection correction, which provides a robust estimate, we analyze data of 10,245 Ecuadorian women between 12 and 19 years old. Data was collected from official surveys conducted in 2006 and 2014. Results: Empirical evidence shows that an overcrowded household is an influential factor on the probability of adolescent pregnancy in Ecuador. Policy Implications: The involvement of policy makers, parents, schools, and NGOs is necessary to design preventive and corrective policies regarding adolescent pregnancy. In particular, governments should implement policies that ensure the rights of adolescents to access mechanisms for preventing and reporting sexual violence whether it comes from their households or anywhere else.
The effects of Coronavirus (COVID-19) on expected tourism revenues for natural preservation. The case of the Galapagos Islands
(2021) Diaz Sanchez, Juan Pablo
This research reports the effects of Coronavirus COVID-19 outbreak on expected tourism revenues for preservation in the Galapagos Islands, a well-known international tourism destination. We explore the trends and construct a seasonal index to estimate the expected number of visitors in the Galapagos National Park (GNP) as well as the potential revenue from the fee entrance in the park, which is used for preservation activities. Our results indicate that in our optimistic scenario, losses would account for half of the revenues in 2020,having a high impact on the Galapagos National Park preservation activities. Based on our results, we recommend GNP and Ecuadorian authorities to look for alternative sources of funding, so conservation programs in the park can continue with no interruption.
Where To Go? Drivers of Venezuelan Asylum Seekers.
(2021) Diaz Sanchez, Juan Pablo
This article reports an investigation of the drivers of Venezuelan asylum seekers - people who have left this country given the scarcity of food and medicines and the troubled actual socio-economic situation. To do so, we use data about the main countries in which Venezuelans have claimed for asylum during the period 2014-17. Using a panel-regression model, we have found that Venezuelan asylum seekers increase, on average, in countries that (i) are geographically nearby Venezuela, (ii) are less politically stable and (iii) have higher real income per capita, lower inflation rates and higher unemployment rates. Still, such a general profile of countries preferred by Venezuelan asylum seekers is nuanced by the small magnitude of the effects regarding the economic variables: it appears that Venezuelan asylum seekers hardly consider the economic situation of a country for deciding to stay. Furthermore, the empirical evidence provided by our model reflects the deterioration of Venezuela's socio-economic aspects. © 2020 The Author(s). Published by Oxford University Press. All rights reserved.